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Analysis On Coronavirus

Current Scenario 

The accumulated confirmation count in South korea is increasing exponentially after 22nd of feb. Till the date 15th of feb 2020 it was negligible. There are many reason for infection but most cases have similar reasons that they have visited to wuhan. South Korea has raised its coronavirus alert to the "highest level" as confirmed case numbers keep rising.South Korea has seen the largest number of confirmed cases after China. More than 4,800 people have confirmed the infection of coronavirus. As the data set says the western part of the country is more affected. Daegu and Gyeongsangbukdo region of South Korea are highly infected by the coronavirus.


● Age distribution of deceased Here, the graph shows the age distribution of the deceased by gender. We can clearly see older people are more likely to be infected, especially older people with underlying lung disease and having problems in their respiration. The age group of 60 to 70 yr are more infected than the rest of the population. As Dr. Steven Gambert, professor of medicine and director of geriatrics at the University of Maryland School of Medicine says “ Older people have higher risk of underlying health conditions, older people are already under physical stress, and their immune systems, even if not significantly compromised, simply do not have the same “ability to fight viruses and bacteria”.


● Gender distribution of deceased The graph shows the age distribution of deceased gender where men are more likely to die from coronavirus than women. New research has found that men, particularly middle-aged and older men, are having a harder time fighting off the virus than women. Chinese researchers found that while the infection rate among men and women is the same, the death rate among men is 2.8% compared with 1.7% for women. As there are a few reasons men are more likely to die from the new coronavirus. Women have a heightened immune response. During Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus 32% of men died of the infection compared with 25.8% of women.

Infection reason


There are many effective reasons for the coronavirus infection. There is no specific antiviral treatment recommended for COVID-19. People with COVID-19 should receive supportive care to help relieve symptoms. For severe cases, treatment should include care to support vital organ functions.People who think they may have been exposed to COVID-19 should contact their healthcare provider immediately. According to the dataset the major reason for the infection is being in contact with patients. There are so many different reasons for the cause of infection which are visits to countries and regions like daegu, wuhan, thailand, china, vietnam, italy.


State of patients 

Current situation in South Korea is very critical. As the data set says out of 60 isolated people there are 15 who are released and 2-3 are deceased.


South Korea confirmed 4,800+ confirmed cases after the first case of coronavirus in the country on January 20. At the moment, 31 patients were discharged from hospitals after making a full recovery from the virus and 22 deaths are reported. In total, over 105 thousand people have been tested until now.


Affected places in world map


On the world map it can clearly be seen that the western side of the country is more affected. The number of cases from Daegu and Gyeongbuk accounts for almost 88 percent of the total infections. This is closely linked to a religious group called Shincheonji Church of Jesus based in Daegu, where a collective infection has occurred and is spreading throughout the country. About 60 percent of all infections in South Korea were related to Shincheonji. There have also been several deaths from a hospital linked to this religious group. The government of South Korea announced that it will test all over 200 thousand members of the group for the coronavirus. Over 70 countries are restricting entry from South korea. South Korea has the most cases after China. South Korea reported the first case on 19th of feb. The cases increased multifold on 21 February, the majority of them being reported in the city of Daegu. The increase was due to community spread, traced to a church in Shincheonji, alarming the Korean health authorities. Singapore too is facing a similar surge in community spread of the novel coronavirus. Seoul city mayor Park Won-soon demanded to prosecute some of the key leaders of the Shincheonji Church for hiding the identities of the suspects during contact tracing investigation.The alert level was further raised to Orange (Level 3) on 28 January. Furthermore, 29 national designated hospitals were announced to isolate the confirmed and suspected cases. 


Patients distribution in city


As the data set says Gyeonggi-do has a maximum number of cases(35+). And Seoul has the second largest number of cases. Similarly states like Incheon, Gangwon-do, Daegu, Gwangju, Jeollabuk-do, jeollanam-do are having large numbers of cases. The threat is so high that The crisis in Daegu and North Gyeongsang province reached its peak and the whole country has entered a war against the infectious disease,” Moon said, referring to the areas where the outbreak has been the worst. 


Time for confirmation to release or death


As the suspects of coronavirus are kept under observation. After the observation it has been found that the people who are released or who have great chances of recovery had sustained 10-20 days in hospitals. On the other hand the people who are deceased were found dead in 0-4 days.The deadly Coronavirus which has spread to more than 70 countries, is wreaking havoc globally, killing over 3,000 people and infecting almost 90,000 people since first detected in China in December last year. While Australia and the US reported their first deaths yesterday, Iran reported the death of 66, Italy 34 and South Korea 22.


Graphical representation of people test and confirmed cases 


As the condition is very critical in South Korea nowadays. The graph shown here represents the number of test cases over the number of confirmed cases date wise. We can clearly see here upto date 28th of jan 2020 condition was under control but after 28th of jan to 6th of feb there is a slight increase in graph. After 6th the graph has been increased linearly for the test cases but remains zero for deceased. After screening around 20,000 people it was found that around 200+ people were infected . Current scenario is after around 10,000 screenings there are 4800+ people who are infected by coronavirus.


Prevention 

To avoid the critical situation people are suggested to do following things 

● Avoid contact with people who are sick. 

● Avoid touching your eyes, nose, and mouth. 

● Stay home when you are sick. 

● Cover your cough or sneeze with a tissue, then throw the tissue in the trash. 

● Clean and disinfect frequently touched objects and surfaces using a regular household 

● Wash your hands often with soap and water, especially after going to the bathroom; before eating; and after blowing your nose, coughing, or sneezing. If soap and water are not readily available, use an alcohol-based hand sanitizer.
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